Wednesday, 11 August 2010

Broadband policies are night and day

ADELE FERGUSON writing in "The Age" Business Day tells it like it really is, on the Broadband "debate" (or "non-debate" from Tony Abbott)
August 11, 2010
The Coalition's proposal to spend $750 million fixing the problems on the copper network is seven times more than it proposed to spend on the network when it was last in government.
This is throwing good money after bad because the copper doesn't need fixing - it needs replacing.
The two telecommunications policies are as different as night and day.
The Labor Party's $43 billion policy is extremely expensive but is all about building a network that will be the backbone of Australia for the next 50 years,
much like the copper-wire network was for the past 100 years. It is also about creating a level playing field for competitors by busting up Telstra's monopoly over the network.
The endgame is to create high-speed broadband to drive a service-based economy for the future.
The Coalition's policy is about tarting up what we have and making promises that its network will be capable of what the Gillard government's policy guarantees - speeds at 100 megabits per second.
This is nigh on impossible.
If you didn't see Tony's abysmal performance on the 7:30 Report, check it out here.
He kept repeating "I'm no Tech head".
Really, Tony?
You surprise me.
Its not that hard. Even to the mathematically challenged,. 100 units is bigger (faster) than 12 units, whether they be Megabits per second, or whatever.
For those not frightened of fast speed talk, check out this analysis on "Good Gear Guide"

Tuesday, 10 August 2010

Greens Preferences.

In case you were wondering, if you vote for the Greens in NSW, this year, and Lee Rhiannon does not quite get a quota, then this is how your vote would be re-distributed. Obviously, if she gets a quota, then she gets elected (end of the question), but it is far from a sure thing. Kerrie Nettle was the last candidate eliminated in the 2007 election, with 11.02% of the vote (after preferences were distributed in 28 "counts"). She started with 8.43% of first preference votes.

THE GREENS (1 - 6)
GROUP AB 7, 8
GROUP AE (CHERYL KERNOT + RUNNING MATE) 9, 10
SECULAR PARTY OF AUSTRALIA 11.12
SOCIALIST ALLIANCE 13, 14
COMMUNIST 15, 16
AUSTRALIAN DEMOCRATS 17, 18
AUSTRALIAN SEX PARTY 19, 20, 21
CARERS ALLIANCE 22, 23
GROUP K 24, 25
GROUP X 26, 27
SENATOR ON-LINE 28, 29
GROUP T 30,
31
LABOR 32 - 37
UNGROUPED - SCOTT IRVING 38
GROUP C 39, 40
SOCIALIST EQUALITY PARTY 41, 42
UNGROUPED CANDIDATES, 43, 44, 45, 46
LIBERAL/NATIONALS 47 - 52
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS (LDP) 53,54, 55
GROUP B 56. 57
GROUP H 58, 59
GROUP L 60, 61
BUILDING AUSTRALIA 62, 63
DEMOCRATIC LABOR PARTY (DLP) OF AUSTRALIA 64, 65
FAMILY FIRST 66. 67
NON-CUSTODIAL PARENTS PARTY (EQUAL PARENTING) 68, 69
CITIZENS ELECTORAL COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA 70, 71
THE CLIMATE SCEPTICS 72,73
SHOOTERS AND FISHERS 74, 75
CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY (FRED NILE GROUP) 76,77, 78
GROUP D 79, 80
GROUP R 81, 82
ONE NATION 83, 84

Electoral rules state that: "In Senate elections, a system called proportional representation voting secures the election of a number of candidates, each of whom has obtained a required quota or proportion of votes necessary for election. The quota is worked out by dividing the total number of formal votes in the election by one more than the number of places available for election."

There are 6 Senate Candidates to be elected.
So, the quota is total formal votes divided by 6 + 1 = 7.
Once that number is achieved, it is not possible for another candidate to pass the line, that's how it is worked out. Saves them having to go all the way down the list, but usually they do anyway.

So, back to the Green Preferences, it is almost certain that the Greens will come 3rd, probably with something about 11% (or if they do very well), maybe 14% of the vote.

Preferences will most likely give the first 4 seats to Labor and the Coalition (2 seats each). Then the race is on for 5th and 6 positions. As Labor is "On the Nose" in NSW I anticipate that the 5th position will go to to the 3rd Liberal/National Coalition candidate (Fiona Nash), so the Labor Party No 3 person (Steve Hutchins) will fight it out with Lee Rhiannon.

If she is finally eliminated, all the preferences for minor Parties and Groups and ungrouped candidates would be nullified, as only "live" candidates can receive any preferences, so the key thing to note is that
Greens preferences go to Labor ahead of Liberals.

So, despite all the "fuss" about preference deals, etc, that is where her effective preferences would go.

The bit which puzzles me most is, why most of these 84 candidates bother?

Time Warp - with Tony the Mad Monk

Friday, 6 August 2010

Electoral Boundaries changes in Southern Highlands

If you live in the Southern Highlands, you might have thought you were in the seat of Hume. You used be.

Now you are part of the seat of Throsby (at least, unless you live south from Exeter). The new boundary is between Exeter and Bundanoon.
This map is from Google's Federal Election 2010 site
It is based on data from the
Australian Electoral Commission (AEC).

If you wish to see a more precise map, please go to the following AEC map of the Division of Throsby.


Thursday, 5 August 2010

Rangas for Climate Action

How ironic is this?
As a nearly bald (post chemotherapy-follicle damage) male I have been invited to join the Facebook site of Rangas for Climate Action.

Its doubly ironic as I was castigated by my blogging colleague, Miss Eagle, for commenting upon the Ranga-status of our new Prime Minister Julia Gillard.

Now, several weeks later, Miss Eagle has embraced the idea of utilising her own Ranga-status to campaign in favour of action on Climate Change.
See her "Network" website entry on this topic.

That's what has persuaded me to join this group (as an honourary "Ranga").

Wednesday, 4 August 2010

Drink driver let off for living in an area with no Public Transport

This is an amazing decision which could only be made by someone with no idea of what life is like in the "bush", and who knows nothing of the dangers of driving on country roads.

Why does the RTA target speeding on country roads and drink-driving on country roads in its ads?
Why do the Police bother with crack-downs on Long Weekends in particular, on country roads?
 
Because it is bloody dangerous driving on bad country roads - that's why.
 
Denis Wilson

Drink driver let off for being over the city limit

http://www.news.com.au/national/drink-driver-jasmin-henley-let-off-for-being-over-the-city-limit/story-e6frfkvr-1225901008748

Jasmin Henley admits she was lucky to be acquitted of a drink driving charge because she lives in an area where there is no public transport. Pictures: Lloyd Justin Source: The Daily Telegraph

Ms Henley's nearest train station from her home near Windsor in Sydney's west is at least a 20 minute drive away. Source: The Daily Telegraph

Drink driving charge dismissed without conviction
  • Woman "didn't live in area with public transport"
  • Driver says charge was her first offence

IT used to be a blood-alcohol reading that determined whether a person was convicted of drink driving - now, it's a postcode.

Sydney woman Jasmin Clair Henley, 27, escaped punishment for driving under the influence yesterday because she lives in an area with no public transport.

In a decision that could set a dangerous precedent - and put people who live in remote areas above the law - a magistrate dismissed the charges against Ms Henley, finding she had no viable alternative to get back to her home at Cattai, north of Windsor, in Sydney's west, after attending a work dinner in the Eastern Suburbs.

"If she lived in any other suburb around Sydney . . . like Paddington . . . there's no way on earth I would consider dismissing the charge," magistrate Brian Maloney said.

Ms Henley recorded a blood-alcohol reading of 0.067 after police stopped her on the Cahill Expressway last month.

Facing the magistrate in the Downing Centre Local Court yesterday, Ms Henley had her low-range drink driving charge dismissed without conviction.

Mr Maloney said he would treat the case as if he was passing sentence in a country court, because there were not enough public transport options open to people living in the northwest corridor.

"It's not like she could jump on a 333 bus to Bondi," he said.

He said the former North Sydney TAFE student ought to move closer to the city if she wanted to have a few drinks over dinner, where she could travel home without risking her own safety and that of other drivers.

"Drinking and driving causes fatalities," he said.

He also quipped that as a past employee of Riverside Oaks Golf Course, Ms Henley would've seen first-hand the ill effects of alcohol on many a drunken golfer.

The magistrate noted that Ms Henley claimed to have only had two drinks at the work function, held at the London Hotel, but he warned that alcohol could be "biased" in effecting women more than men due to their generally smaller body mass.

Ms Henley told The Daily Telegraph she was relieved to have kept her licence because she would not able to get to and from her workplace in the Eastern Suburbs by public transport.

She said she was in danger of having her licence suspended for a minimum of three months if Mr Maloney had not taken her remote address into account.

"I really need my licence, especially living out here.

"It would be too hard to get anywhere. There are no buses at all that come past my house and the nearest train station is Mulgrave, at least 20 minutes away."

Ms Henley said she has never caught a taxi home to Cattai because the fare, about $175, is too costly.

"I've never been in trouble before. This is my first offence. I know I'm really lucky."

Lionel Rattenbury, a partner at Armstrong Legal who was not involved in the case, said the sentence was not manifestly inadequate and within the acceptable range for low-end drink driving offences.

Most offenders in the low-range are fined and have their licenses suspended for three to six months, he said.

Citing the Court of Criminal Appeal, he said the significant effect of license disqualification on a person's ability to earn income and function appropriately in the community should be factored in when applying sentences.

Mr Rattenbury also believed the decision wouldn't affect any future drink driving cases.

"The judgment of one magistrate has very little effect upon the judgments of others," he said.

"The law is clear and set out in the guideline judgment."

- With Larissa Cummings and Nathan Klein at The Daily Telegraph.



 
 

Tuesday, 3 August 2010

Baleful influence of "NSW Right" on ALP

Bernard Keane in Crikey has hit the nail on the head today (in Crikey's Morning Election Update).
He says:
  • "Getting rid of the baleful influence of NSW Labor on her campaign style might turn out to be a smart play by Gillard, but it’ll only be of any use if she goes all the way and removes the likes of Mark Arbib and Karl Bitar from the government’s policy process as well. That’s where the real damage has been done."
Dead right.
NSW at the State level is addicted to coal mining revenues.
The Union Movement in NSW is addicted to Coal Miners.
The NSW ALP is addicted to the belief that the coal miners keep the Newcastle and Hunter Valley seats in their "safe" hands.

Senator Mark Arbib -
"close adviser to the (former) Prime Minister (Rudd)
and his link to the New South Wales branch of the ALP.

Karl Bitar
National Secretary of the ALP

These backroom boys persuaded Kevin Rudd to abandon any serious response to Global Warming.
The rest is history.
  • Rudd is history.
  • Gillard will not touch Global Warming, as evidenced by her ridiculous proposal to randomly select 150 unqualified persons to advise the Government.
  • It remains to be seen if the Labor Government is history.
REMEMBER: "IT IS BY BEING QUIET AND POLITE CITIZENS WE ALLOW OURSELVES TO BE IGNORED"