Ageing of the Australian Population - implications for health and pension budgets.
For the record, I was involved (in a junior capacity) in drafting a report to the Federal Government in 1980, while working in the Federal Dept of Health, Policy and Planning Branch, Research Section.
The report was entitled "Health Care in the year 2000", and it was a planning document with a 20 year lead time.
Now 30 years later, an academic has "discovered" that this is about to happen in 12 months time. Suddenly it is "News"! Spare me from sloppy journalistic standards. Peter Martin is a serious Economics Correspondent and columnist for the SMH, and a regular Economics commentator on the ABC. He should be able to do better than this.
Source: http://www.smh.com.au/national/first-flush-of-boomers-line-up-for-pensions-20091229-lirg.html
First flush of boomers line up for pensions Ageing of the Australian Population - implications for health and pension budgets.
For the record, I was involved (in a junior capacity) in drafting a report to the Federal Government in 1980, while working in the Federal Dept of Health, Policy and Planning Branch, Research Section.
The report was entitled "Health Care in the year 2000", and it was a planning document with a 20 year lead time.
Source: http://www.smh.com.au/national/first-flush-of-boomers-line-up-for-pensions-20091229-lirg.html
PETER MARTIN ECONOMICS CORRESPONDENT
December 31, 2009 (published Dec 30, 2009, by the way!!!)THE first wave of Australia's baby boomers - those born from 1946 - become eligible for the pension from next week.
Official projections suggest up to 107,000 baby boomer women will reach the female pension age of 64 next year.
A year later 100,000 baby boomer men will reach the male pension age of 65 and a further 120,000 women will reach pension age.
''The bulge will expand for 15 years,'' said David Knox, an actuary and worldwide partner at Mercer Consulting. ''And these boomers will be living longer than did earlier pensioners.''
Dr Knox was behind a campaign to gradually raise the pension age to 67, a decision implemented in the federal budget in May with the first increase to 65 years and six months due in 2017, and the final increase in 2023.
''I think we'll need more,'' he told the Herald. ''I would like the pension age to keep increasing as life expectancy increases, not on a one-for-one basis, but by six months for every year that lives lengthen, so that the costs are shared.''
The rapid ageing*** of the population brought on by the steady march of boomers into their upper 60s and early 70s will be a focus of both the Henry review of taxation and the Treasury's third Intergenerational Report, to be released early in the new year.
Current projections suggest that by the middle of the century almost one in four Australians will be 65 or older, roughly double the present 13 per cent. The proportion aged 85 or older will triple from 1.7 per cent to 5 per cent.
In an early insight into the content of the third report, the Treasurer, Wayne Swan, told the Australian Institute on Population Ageing Research in September it would find that Australia's population would be larger and somewhat younger than had been believed. That was being driven by an unexpected jump in the birth rate and greater than expected immigration.
The challenge would be to encourage older people to continue to contribute to the community, as carers, volunteers and workers.
The budget eased the income test on pensions in order to make continued part-time work more attractive.
But Dr Knox said most Australians actually retired well before the pension age. Retirement at 58 or 59 was typical, although there were signs that age was increasing to 61.
''The global financial crisis has eaten into nest eggs, forcing some people to postpone their retirement plans. And the recovery is going to encourage employers to hang on to their workers as they become scarce,'' he said.
The Henry review has considered recommending that the superannuation preservation age be slowly raised to 67, to bring it into line with the higher pension age from 2023, in effect making it impossible to get a retirement income before 67 without working or living off the income from investments.
2 comments:
All this putting of the pension age further and further back would be reasonable except for two things:
1. Bodies wear out - particularly in those who have done a lot of manual labour - in spite of increasing longevity. We can live to a ripe old age these days with bodies that are not fit for work.
2. Age discrimination. If one knew that one could apply for a job at 67 and stand a chance of getting it. But we all know the likelihood of that - even when one is 50!It is one thing to stay in a job once you have it. And there can be age discrimination in that situation. But it is another to find work - any work - at that age and particularly so if your body says you cannot do what you have always done.
Not all of us are on the superannuation of senior bureaucrats and politicians!
Hi Miss Eagle.
I agree with the points you make.
We did not advocate changes to pensionable age.
What we were doing was to alert the Government to the need to budget for additional costs.
It is the modern Government(s) policy
of blaming the victim which has resulted in the shift of pension age qualifications.
.
Liberal Vs Labor?
Same attitude.
.
It is a technocratic budgetary solution, not a social policy.
.
Cheers
Denis
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